Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.181498 0.203374 0.226184 0.251687 0.279348 0.308386 0.341119
2025-02-02 0.157428 0.187917 0.221207 0.260062 0.303970 0.351854 0.407822
2025-02-09 0.135967 0.171725 0.212385 0.261627 0.319223 0.384030 0.462019
2025-02-16 0.120554 0.160252 0.207059 0.265612 0.336151 0.417642 0.518110
2025-02-23 0.110749 0.154112 0.206908 0.274833 0.358752 0.457870 0.582543
2025-03-02 0.097500 0.142163 0.198333 0.272638 0.366726 0.480250 0.625788
2025-03-09 0.087358 0.133097 0.192380 0.272828 0.376978 0.505047 0.672008
2025-03-16 0.078079 0.124208 0.185776 0.271383 0.384559 0.526208 0.713753
2025-03-23 0.072572 0.119949 0.184827 0.276960 0.400958 0.558485 0.769772
2025-03-30 0.065927 0.113405 0.180175 0.277053 0.409807 0.580992 0.813562
2025-04-06 0.059927 0.107233 0.175514 0.276660 0.417664 0.602066 0.855625
2025-04-13 0.054583 0.101548 0.171083 0.276169 0.425086 0.622446 0.896901
2025-04-20 0.050286 0.097310 0.168728 0.278814 0.437337 0.650157 0.949344
2025-04-27 0.047863 0.095873 0.170418 0.287291 0.457892 0.689432 1.017910
2025-05-04 0.043956 0.091596 0.167446 0.288647 0.468262 0.714976 1.068484
2025-05-11 0.041035 0.088719 0.166420 0.292751 0.482545 0.746057 1.127004
2025-05-18 0.039565 0.088252 0.169144 0.302573 0.505299 0.789253 1.202730
2025-05-25 0.035790 0.083241 0.164145 0.300145 0.509827 0.806887 1.243489
2025-06-01 0.032856 0.079496 0.160959 0.300313 0.518064 0.829756 1.291725
2025-06-08 0.029893 0.075382 0.156852 0.298737 0.523481 0.848552 1.334423
2025-06-15 0.028417 0.074064 0.157453 0.304729 0.540484 0.884229 1.401339
2025-06-22 0.026148 0.070896 0.154580 0.304822 0.548296 0.906602 1.449638
2025-06-29 0.024000 0.067745 0.151514 0.304395 0.555173 0.927614 1.496193